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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Granada
U T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Valencia
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 38%
39%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 49%
39%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 9. · Valencia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 33 22 8 3 +40 74
2 Barcelona 33 21 7 5 +39 70
3 Ath Madrid 34 16 14 4 +21 62
4 Sevilla 33 15 12 6 +15 57
5 Villarreal 33 16 6 11 +13 54
6 Getafe 33 14 10 9 +11 52
7 Sociedad 33 15 5 13 +8 50
8 Ath Bilbao 33 12 12 9 +10 48
9 Granada 33 13 7 13 +2 46
10 Valencia 33 12 10 11 -7 46
11 Osasuna 33 11 11 11 -7 44
12 Levante 33 12 6 15 -5 42
13 Valladolid 34 8 15 11 -9 39
14 Betis 34 9 11 14 -11 38
15 Celta 34 7 14 13 -10 35
16 Eibar 33 9 8 16 -16 35
17 Alaves 34 9 8 17 -19 35
18 Mallorca 34 8 5 21 -24 29
19 Leganes 33 5 10 18 -25 25
20 Espanol 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Valencia
Half-time 0–0
D. Foulquier 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 J. Costa
↦ A. Guerrero
1–0 C. Fernandez
61′
63′
M. Vallejo 1–1
D. Cheryshev
66′
🔁 M. Vallejo
↦ M. Gomez
66′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ G. Guedes
Y. Brice 🔁
↦ Fede
66′
68′
G. Guedes 1–2
Gabriel
V. Diaz 🔁
↦ A. Puertas
72′
81′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ R. Sobrino
G. Sanchez 🔁
↦ J. Vallejo
83′
C. Neva 🔁
↦ G. Dias
83′
2–2 Fede
86′
87′
🔁 D. Parejo
↦ G. Kondogbia
90′
🟨 G. Guedes
Y. Herrera 🟨
95′
97′
🟨 D. Wass
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Granada

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
6 Germán Sánchez D
22 Domingos Duarte D
2 Dimitri Foulquier M
21 Yangel Herrera M
8 Yan Brice M
15 Carlos Neva M
24 Carlos Fernández F
23 Darwin Machís F
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (11)
40 João Costa
13 Aarón Escandell
20 Jesús Vallejo
11 İsmail Köybaşı
5 José Antonio Martinez
17 Gil Dias
10 Antonio Puertas
31 Mario Rodriguez
12 Ramon Azeez
14 Fede Vico
18 Antoñin

Coach: Diego Martínez

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Jasper Cillessen G
18 Daniel Wass D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
4 Eliaquim Mangala D
3 Jaume Costa D
8 Carlos Soler M
10 Dani Parejo M
17 Francis Coquelin M
11 Denis Cheryshev M
15 Manu Vallejo F
9 Kévin Gameiro F
Bench (12)
1 Jaume Doménech
12 Mouctar Diakhaby
2 Thierry Correia
25 Alessandro Florenzi
33 Hugo Guillamón
31 Adriá Guerrero
16 Kang-in Lee
34 Vicente Esquerdo
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia
7 Gonçalo Guedes
23 Rubén Sobrino
22 Maximiliano Gómez

Coach: Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U ✓
3,22
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.