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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Eibar

S S T U U

5–1

Full-time

Sevilla

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

38%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

62%

48%

Both score Ø 43%

48%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 8. · Sevilla 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	18	3	0	+49	57
2	Ath Madrid	21	13	7	1	+23	46
3	Valencia	21	12	4	5	+17	40
4	Real Madrid	20	11	5	4	+24	38
5	Villarreal	21	11	4	6	+8	37
6	Sevilla	21	10	3	8	-2	33
7	Celta	21	9	4	8	+8	31
8	Eibar	21	8	5	8	-7	29
9	Getafe	21	7	7	7	+5	28
10	Girona	21	7	7	7	+0	28
11	Leganes	20	8	4	8	-1	28
12	Ath Bilbao	21	6	9	6	+1	27
13	Betis	21	8	3	10	-9	27
14	Sociedad	22	7	5	10	+1	26
15	Espanol	21	6	6	9	-10	24
16	Levante	21	3	10	8	-12	19
17	Alaves	21	6	1	14	-14	19
18	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
19	Las Palmas	21	4	2	15	-34	14
20	Malaga	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
6	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
8	Eibar	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+2	17
10	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Betis	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
13	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
14	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
15	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	+2	14
16	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-5	13
17	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
6	Celta	11	5	1	5	+6	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
9	Sevilla	11	4	0	7	-10	12
10	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
16	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Alaves	10	2	0	8	-9	6
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Las Palmas	11	1	1	9	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.