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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Alaves

T T U T S

0–2

Full-time

Elche

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 5/3 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

0,6

0,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

4 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 18. · Elche 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+0	11
2	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Getafe	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Cadiz	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Granada	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Betis	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+7	8
8	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+6	7
10	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Ath Bilbao	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Huesca	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
18	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Levante	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Granada	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Levante	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Betis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Huesca	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.