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Süper Lig
Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu
Gaziantep
U U U S U
3–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 32%
14%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 77%
86%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
8 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gaziantep 9. · Besiktas 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 7 5 2 0 +6 17
2 Alanyaspor 6 5 1 0 +13 16
3 Galatasaray 7 4 1 2 +4 13
4 Karagumruk 7 3 2 2 +6 11
5 Rizespor 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Kasimpasa 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Buyuksehyr 7 3 1 3 +1 10
8 Besiktas 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Gaziantep 7 1 5 1 -1 8
10 Sivasspor 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Antalyaspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Hatayspor 5 2 2 1 -3 8
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 7 2 2 3 -4 8
14 Goztep 6 1 4 1 +3 7
15 Erzurumspor 6 2 1 3 -3 7
16 Konyaspor 6 1 3 2 +1 6
17 Kayserispor 6 2 0 4 -5 6
18 Genclerbirligi 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Trabzonspor 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Denizlispor 6 1 2 3 -5 5
21 Ankaragücü 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Besiktas
17′
🔁 Javi Montero
↦ Welinton
Nouha Dicko 🟨
24′
1–0 K. Mirallas
44′
Kevin Mirallas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Josef de Souza
↦ D. Toköz
46′
🔁 B. Mensah
↦ O. Özyakup
55′
🟥 Ersin Destanoğlu
58′
🔁 U. Yuvakuran
↦ R. Ghezzal
61′
C. Larin 1–1
V. Rosier
2–1 M. Demir
O. Ceylan
63′
72′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ C. Larin
K. Özer 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
75′
C. Şahin 🔁
↦ M. Demir
82′
Kevin Mirallas 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
F. Soyalp 🔁
↦ A. Vetrih
95′
G. Vural 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
96′
Jefferson 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
96′
3–1 K. Özer
G. Vural
98′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski D
76 J. Kana-Biyik D
17 O. Ceylan D
27 K. Mirallas M
74 A. Vetrih M
44 A. Maxim M
10 M. Demir F
94 N. Dicko F
Bench (10)
7 K. Özer
77 C. Şahin
11 G. Vural
88 F. Soyalp
8 Jefferson
5 K. Aktaş
55 A. Tetteh
25 Ç. Akbaba
23 M. Uğurlu
28 André Sousa

Coach: M. Şumudică

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
10 O. Özyakup M
18 R. Ghezzal M
26 D. Toköz M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
4 Javi Montero
5 Josef de Souza
43 B. Mensah
97 U. Yuvakuran
9 G. Yalçın
12 E. Kaya
33 R. Yılmaz
27 A. Üner
22 A. Ljajić
41 K. Yılmaz

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,66
U
3,71
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Yasar Kemal Ugurlu · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.