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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Belenenses
T U U T U
0–0
Full-time
Rio Ave
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 12. · Rio Ave 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 Benfica 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 Sp Braga 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Porto 6 3 1 2 +6 10
5 Santa Clara 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Guimaraes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Rio Ave 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Pacos Ferreira 6 2 2 2 -1 8
9 Moreirense 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Nacional 6 1 4 1 +0 7
11 Maritimo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Belenenses 6 1 3 2 -2 6
13 Boavista 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Famalicao 6 1 3 2 -4 6
15 Gil Vicente 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Tondela 6 1 2 3 -8 5
17 Portimonense 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Farense 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Rio Ave
15′
🟨 Toni Borevković
Henrique 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Afonso Sousa ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
56′
🟨 Aderllan Santos
65′
🔁 Francisco Geraldes
↦ Lucas Piazón
65′
🔁 Gelson Dala
↦ Diego Lopes
Edi Semedo 🔁
↦ M. Cassierra
73′
73′
🔁 Bruno Moreira
↦ André Pereira
Afonso Taira 🟨
77′
Cauê 🔁
↦ T. Phete
85′
Francisco Teixeira 🔁
↦ Silvestre Varela
85′
85′
🔁 R. Meshino
↦ Carlos Mané
85′
🔁 Tarantini
↦ Pelé
Robinho 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Belenenses

3-4-2-1
23 S. Kritsyuk G
26 Henrique D
5 Rúben Lima M
4 Tomás Ribeiro D
20 Afonso Taira M
6 Bruno Ramires M
13 Tiago Esgaio M
21 T. Phete D
28 Afonso Sousa F
10 Silvestre Varela F
9 M. Cassierra F
Bench (9)
7 Edi Semedo
8 Cauê
19 Francisco Teixeira
17 Robinho
24 Guilherme Oliveira
14 Danny Henriques
15 S. Sithole
22 Richard Rodrigues
2 Diogo Calila

Coach: Petit

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
25 Ivo Pinto D
33 Aderllan Santos D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 T. Borevković D
18 Pelé M
5 Filipe Augusto M
10 Diego Lopes M
21 Carlos Mané M
14 Lucas Piazón M
77 André Pereira F
Bench (9)
11 Francisco Geraldes
7 Gelson Dala
9 Bruno Moreira
40 R. Meshino
8 Tarantini
20 Costinha
23 N. Jambor
4 Nélson Monte
22 Léo

Coach: Mário Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,42
U ✓
3,15
B
2,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.