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2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim
T U T U T
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Wurzburger Kickers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 0
17 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 16. · Wurzburger Kickers 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Bochum 6 3 2 1 +3 11
3 Holstein Kiel 6 3 2 1 +2 11
4 Osnabruck 6 2 4 0 +2 10
5 Greuther Furth 6 2 3 1 +4 9
6 Hannover 6 3 0 3 +3 9
7 Regensburg 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Darmstadt 6 2 3 1 +1 9
9 Paderborn 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Erzgebirge Aue 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 St Pauli 6 1 4 1 +1 7
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Sandhausen 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Braunschweig 6 2 1 3 -6 7
15 Nurnberg 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Heidenheim 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Karlsruhe 6 1 1 4 -2 4
18 Wurzburger Kickers 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,94
B
5,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.