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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Getafe
U T U U T
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 39%
27%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
45%
30%
Both score Ø 34%
27%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 15. · Sevilla 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 10 8 2 0 +19 26
2 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +17 25
3 Villarreal 12 5 6 1 +4 21
4 Real Madrid 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
6 Sevilla 10 5 1 4 +3 16
7 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
8 Betis 12 5 0 7 -9 15
9 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
10 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
11 Ath Bilbao 12 4 2 6 +0 14
12 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
13 Eibar 12 3 5 4 -1 14
14 Alaves 12 3 5 4 -2 14
15 Getafe 11 3 4 4 -4 13
16 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11
20 Huesca 12 0 8 4 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Sevilla
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
36′
40′
🟨 Ivan Rakitić
45′
🟨 Diego Carlos
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Aleix Vidal
65′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ I. Rakitić
75′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ L. Ocampos
81′
Etxeita 1–0
own goal
Enes Ünal 🟨
83′
Ángel 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
83′
84′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ Suso
84′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
John Patrick 🔁
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
87′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ Timor
87′
Portillo 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
93′
Víctor Mollejo 🔁
↦ E. Cabaco
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-1-4-1
13 David Soria G
12 A. Nyom D
4 Etxeita D
3 E. Cabaco D
15 Cucurella M
17 M. Olivera D
24 Timor M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
10 E. Ünal F
23 J. Hernández M
Bench (9)
9 Ángel
38 John Patrick
14 A. Palaversa
8 Portillo
26 Víctor Mollejo
21 A. Diaby
37 R. Nolan
22 D. Suárez
1 Rubén Yáñez

Coach: José Bordalás

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
20 Diego Carlos D
12 J. Koundé D
10 I. Rakitić M
25 Fernando M
17 Aleix Vidal D
5 L. Ocampos F
19 M. Acuña D
7 Suso F
8 Joan Jordán M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
21 Óliver Torres
9 L. de Jong
6 N. Gudelj
14 Óscar Rodríguez
22 F. Vázquez
31 Javi Díaz
3 Sergi Gómez
24 Carlos Fernández
23 O. Idrissi
4 K. Rekik
2 J. Gnagnon
33 Alfonso Pastor

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,80
U
3,19
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.