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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 48%

78%

18%

Points per game

2,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

33%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

22%

64%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

0,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Valladolid 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+17	24
2	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+5	20
4	Villarreal	11	5	5	1	+4	20
5	Sevilla	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Cadiz	11	4	3	4	-3	15
7	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+10	14
8	Granada	10	4	2	4	-6	14
9	Ath Bilbao	11	4	1	6	+0	13
10	Elche	9	3	4	2	-1	13
11	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Getafe	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Celta	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Valencia	11	3	3	5	+0	12
16	Betis	11	4	0	7	-11	12
17	Levante	11	2	5	4	-2	11
18	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	-5	11
19	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
20	Huesca	11	0	7	4	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+7	11
4	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Granada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Valencia	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Levante	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Betis	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Elche	5	1	3	1	-2	6
17	Celta	5	2	0	3	-5	6
18	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
10	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Betis	6	2	0	4	-9	6
12	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Osasuna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Huesca	6	0	4	2	-6	4
19	Granada	5	1	1	3	-8	4
20	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.