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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Getafe
S T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 6. · Ath Madrid 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Celta 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Espanol 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Getafe 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
9 Girona 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Ath Madrid 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Betis 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Levante 4 1 1 2 +1 4
14 Sevilla 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Villarreal 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Huesca 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Valladolid 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Valencia 4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 -7 3
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Ath Madrid
14′
T. Lemar 0–1
A. Griezmann
Half-time 0–1
Damián Suárez 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ Rodri Hernández
60′
T. Lemar 0–2
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
63′
Iván Alejo 🟥
67′
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
70′
71′
🔁 D. Godín
↦ Filipe Luis
S. Cristóforo 🔁
↦ D. Dakonam
78′
80′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ T. Lemar
82′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
84′
🟨 Juanfran
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
6 L. Cabrera D
4 Bruno González D
2 D. Dakonam D
8 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
9 Ángel
19 Jorge Molina F
11 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
23 Iván Alejo
14 Sergi Guardiola
15 S. Cristóforo
1 L. Chichizola
7 Jaime Mata
10 G. Shibasaki
24 D. Foulquier

Coach: José Bordalás

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
24 J. Giménez D
21 L. Hernández D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
14 Rodri Hernández M
19 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
5 T. Partey
2 D. Godín
10 Á. Correa
1 Adán
9 N. Kalinić
18 Gelson Martins
32 Borja Garcés

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.