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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Ath Madrid
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
5 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Betis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Barcelona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Levante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jan -19 Ath Madrid – Getafe 2–0 22. Sep -18 Getafe – Ath Madrid 0–2 12. May -18 Getafe – Ath Madrid 0–1 6. Jan -18 Ath Madrid – Getafe 2–0 14. Feb -16 Getafe – Ath Madrid 0–1

Match report

Ath Madrid Getafe
17′
🟨 Leandro Cabrera
1–0 Morata ⚽
K. Trippier
23′
38′
🟥 Jorge Molina
Renan Lodi 🟨
41′
Renan Lodi 🟨
42′
Renan Lodi 🟥
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ L. Cabrera
49′
🟨 Fayçal Fajr
Hermoso 🔁
↦ T. Partey
62′
64′
🔁 Ángel
↦ D. Suárez
Llorente 🔁
↦ João Félix
66′
Vitolo 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
73′
77′
🟨 Allan Nyom
80′
🔁 Enric Gallego
↦ Mata
Saúl Ñíguez 🟨
81′
90′
🟨 Ángel Rodríguez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-3-1-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
15 Stefan Savić D
2 José Giménez D
12 Renan Lodi D
6 Koke M
5 Thomas Partey M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
11 Thomas Lemar M
9 Álvaro Morata F
7 João Félix F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
22 Mario Hermoso
4 Santiago Arias
20 Vitolo
14 Marcos Llorente
16 Héctor Herrera
17 Ivan Šaponjić

Coach: D. Simeone

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 Allan Nyom D
2 Djené D
4 Bruno González D
6 Leandro Cabrera D
22 Damián Suárez M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
21 Fayçal Fajr M
15 Marc Cucurella M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
14 Raúl García
16 Xabier Etxeita
8 Francisco Portillo
5 Markel Bergara
9 Ángel Rodríguez
10 Enric Gallego

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
🔒
U
4,23
🔒
B
7,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.