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Premier League

Referee: P Bankes

Nott'm Forest

S U S U T

2–1

Full-time

Sheffield United

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 0,50

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 14. · Sheffield United 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
6	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
7	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
9	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
11	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
16	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
17	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
18	Luton	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
19	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
20	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
5	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
6	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
9	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
10	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
3	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
4	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
5	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
6	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Luton	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
10	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.