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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Metz

S U S S T

2–2

Full-time

Marseille

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

6,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

5,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,48 xG 1,94

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 18. · Marseille 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
16	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
8	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
4	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
7	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
9	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.