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Serie B
Referee: F Maresca
Bari
T S U T T
0–0
Full-time
Palermo
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
7 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Jan -23 Palermo – Bari 1–0 19. Aug -22 Bari – Palermo 1–1

Match report

Bari Palermo
A. Scheidler 🔁
↦ D. Diaw
15′
24′
🟨 Ivan Marconi
Half-time 0–0
Mattia Maita ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
49′
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
50′
Mattia Maita 🟥
50′
Giuseppe Sibilli 🟨
51′
Ž. Žužek 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
61′
J. Ménez 🔁
↦ M. Nasti
61′
64′
🟨 Matteo Brunori
65′
ℹ️ Matteo Brunori
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
66′
Valerio Di Cesare 🟥
66′
Raffaele Maiello 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ L. Štulac
69′
🔁 A. Buttaro
↦ I. Marconi
Ahmad Benali 🟨
70′
73′
🟨 Aljoša Vasić
75′
🟨 Roberto Insigne
78′
🔁 N. Valente
↦ F. Di Mariano
78′
🔁 D. Šarić
↦ A. Vasic
78′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ R. Insigne
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ Ahmed Benali
85′
M. Edjouma 🔁
↦ A. Scheidler
85′
Jérémy Ménez 🟨
92′
Brenno 🟨
93′
102′
ℹ️ Matteo Brunori
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bari

4-3-1-2
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
17 R. Maiello M
8 Ahmed Benali M
20 G. Sibilli M
9 M. Nasti F
18 D. Diaw F
Bench (12)
44 A. Scheidler
21 Ž. Žužek
7 J. Ménez
25 R. Pucino
24 M. Edjouma
19 F. Faggi
10 N. Bellomo
1 P. Frattali
5 E. Matino
77 G. Morachioli
29 F. Lops
3 M. Perrotta

Coach: M. Mignani

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
37 A. Matějů D
5 F. Lucioni D
15 I. Marconi D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
20 A. Vasic M
6 L. Štulac M
4 C. Gomes M
11 R. Insigne F
9 M. Brunori F
10 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (11)
7 L. Mancuso
25 A. Buttaro
30 N. Valente
23 D. Šarić
27 E. Soleri
1 S. Desplanches
18 I. Nedelcearu
12 M. Nespola
21 S. Damiani
8 J. Segre
2 S. Graves

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
🔒
U ✓
3,07
🔒
B
2,69
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,14
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.