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Eredivisie

Referee: E Blank

Heracles

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

4,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,03 xG 1,04

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 16. · Nijmegen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
7	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
9	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
7	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
8	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.