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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Ath Madrid

S S S U S

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Ath Bilbao 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Valencia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Elche	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Celta	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Getafe	5	0	0	5	-7	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Osasuna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Celta	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.