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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Alaves

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 44%

20%

67%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%

7 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 20. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+4	14
3	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Sevilla	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Valencia	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Barcelona	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Betis	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-5	8
12	Villarreal	5	1	4	0	+3	7
13	Espanol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Cadiz	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Elche	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Levante	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Celta	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Granada	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Getafe	6	0	0	6	-8	0
20	Alaves	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Celta	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Betis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Elche	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Barcelona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.