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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Ath Bilbao
S T U U U
0–0
Full-time
Alaves
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
31%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Alaves 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 29 20 6 3 +32 66
2 Barcelona 29 20 5 4 +44 65
3 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 +28 63
4 Sevilla 29 18 4 7 +19 58
5 Sociedad 29 12 10 7 +16 46
6 Villarreal 29 11 13 5 +11 46
7 Betis 29 14 4 11 -3 46
8 Celta 29 9 10 10 -6 37
9 Ath Bilbao 29 9 9 11 +6 36
10 Granada 29 10 6 13 -15 36
11 Levante 29 8 11 10 -3 35
12 Cadiz 30 9 8 13 -18 35
13 Valencia 29 8 9 12 -5 33
14 Osasuna 29 7 10 12 -12 31
15 Getafe 30 7 9 14 -12 30
16 Valladolid 29 5 12 12 -13 27
17 Huesca 30 5 12 13 -14 27
18 Elche 30 5 11 14 -19 26
19 Eibar 29 4 11 14 -13 23
20 Alaves 29 5 8 16 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Alaves
Mikel Vesga 🟨
2′
45′
ℹ️ Joselu
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
Dani García 🔁
↦ Unai López
63′
Williams 🔁
↦ Asier Villalibre
63′
Muniain 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
64′
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
69′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
69′
75′
🔁 Edgar Méndez
↦ Luis Rioja
75′
🔁 Pere Pons
↦ Jota Peleteiro
78′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Pina
85′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Lucas Pérez
Ander Capa 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Manu García
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
1 Unai Simón G
24 Balenziaga D
21 Capa D
15 Lekue D
3 Unai Núñez D
7 Ibai Gómez M
8 Unai López M
6 Mikel Vesga M
16 Oihan Sancet F
20 Asier Villalibre F
2 Jon Morcillo M
Bench (10)
14 Dani García
9 Williams
10 Muniain
12 Álex Berenguer
22 Raúl García
26 Iñigo Vicente
18 De Marcos
4 Íñigo Martínez
13 Jokin Ezkieta
27 Unai Vencedor

Coach: Marcelino

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
2 Alberto Rodríguez D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
8 Pina M
24 Jota Peleteiro M
6 R. Battaglia M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (10)
16 Edgar Méndez
20 Pere Pons
19 Manu García
29 Borja Sainz
13 Sivera
10 J. Guidetti
18 Burgui
14 Deyverson
26 Javi López
5 Laguardia

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,31
B
4,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.