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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Alaves
S T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Osasuna
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 20. · Osasuna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Valencia 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 Ath Bilbao 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +3 7
9 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +0 7
10 Elche 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Betis 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Cadiz 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Osasuna 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Levante 5 0 4 1 -1 4
15 Villarreal 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 Espanol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Celta 5 0 1 4 -6 1
19 Getafe 5 0 0 5 -7 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Osasuna
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
13′
22′
David García 0–1
Rubén García
Toni Moya 🟨
28′
Rubén Duarte 🟨
29′
29′
Roberto Torres 0–2
31′
🟨 Roberto Torres
Half-time 0–2
F. Pellistri 🔁
↦ Iván Martín
46′
M. Loum 🔁
↦ Pina
46′
Manu García 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
63′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
64′
Ximo Navarro 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 Oier
↦ Moncayola
73′
🟨 Lucas Torró
Miguel de la Fuente 🔁
↦ Rubén Duarte
77′
82′
🟨 Manuel Sánchez
82′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ Kike
82′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ Roberto Torres
88′
🔁 Iñigo Pérez
↦ Rubén García
88′
🔁 Jaume Grau
↦ D. Brašanac
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
13 Sivera G
5 Laguardia D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
4 M. Miazga D
8 Pina M
15 Toni Moya M
19 Iván Martín M
9 Joselu F
7 M. Sylla F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (11)
18 F. Pellistri
6 M. Loum
14 Manu García
10 J. Guidetti
24 Miguel de la Fuente
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
12 Saúl García
31 Jesús Owono
26 A. Abqar
35 Alan Godoy
2 Alberto Rodríguez

Coach: Javi Calleja

Osasuna

4-3-3
1 Sergio Herrera G
23 Aridane D
5 David García D
2 Nacho Vidal D
39 Manu Sánchez D
10 Roberto Torres F
8 D. Brašanac M
24 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García F
7 Moncayola M
18 Kike F
Bench (12)
6 Oier
9 E. Ávila
28 Javi Martínez
21 Iñigo Pérez
12 Jaume Grau
4 Unai García
19 Javi Ontiveros
13 Juan Pérez
16 Cote
15 Jonás Ramalho
17 A. Budimir
22 Robert Ibáñez

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,07
B ✓
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.