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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Celta
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Levante
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
33%
8%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 10. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 25 17 6 2 +31 57
2 Sevilla 25 14 9 2 +20 51
3 Betis 25 14 4 7 +17 46
4 Barcelona 24 11 9 4 +14 42
5 Ath Madrid 25 12 6 7 +11 42
6 Villarreal 25 10 9 6 +18 39
7 Sociedad 24 10 8 6 -1 38
8 Ath Bilbao 25 9 10 6 +8 37
9 Osasuna 25 8 8 9 -5 32
10 Celta 24 8 7 9 +3 31
11 Vallecano 24 9 4 11 -1 31
12 Valencia 25 7 9 9 -5 30
13 Espanol 25 7 8 10 -5 29
14 Elche 25 7 8 10 -6 29
15 Getafe 25 6 8 11 -4 26
16 Mallorca 24 6 8 10 -15 26
17 Granada 25 5 9 11 -13 24
18 Cadiz 25 3 11 11 -18 20
19 Alaves 25 5 5 15 -23 20
20 Levante 24 2 8 14 -26 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Levante
25′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
40′
🟨 Martín Cáceres
Néstor Araujo 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Dani Cárdenas
Franco Cervi 🟨
57′
O. Pineda 🔁
↦ N. Araujo
62′
Carlos Domínguez 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
62′
62′
🔁 Jorge de Frutos
↦ Morales
62′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Dani Gómez
1–0 F. Cervi
Javier Galán
67′
75′
🔁 Cantero
↦ M. Cáceres
75′
🔁 M. Malsa
↦ Melero
R. Tapia 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
77′
82′
Roger Martí 1–1
Cantero
85′
🔁 Clerc
↦ Son
Thiago Galhardo 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
86′
87′
🟨 Roger Martí
Iago Aspas 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Jorge de Frutos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araujo D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
11 F. Cervi M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
18 O. Pineda
28 Carlos Domínguez
14 R. Tapia
7 Thiago Galhardo
37 Coke Carrillo
33 Hugo Sotelo
21 A. Solari
20 Kevin Vázquez
9 Nolito
24 J. Murillo
19 José Fontán
13 Rubén Blanco

Coach: E. Coudet

Levante

5-3-2
34 Dani Cárdenas G
7 M. Cáceres D
6 Ó. Duarte D
20 Miramón D
2 Son D
4 Rober D
11 Morales F
22 Melero M
10 E. Bardhi M
8 Pepelu M
21 Dani Gómez F
Bench (12)
18 Jorge de Frutos
9 Roger Martí
29 Cantero
12 M. Malsa
19 Clerc
23 Coke
42 Marc Pubill
16 Soldado
17 N. Vukčević
1 Aitor Fernández
36 Antonio Leal
3 Enric Franquesa

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
4,11
B
5,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.