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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto
Levante
T S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Celta
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
18%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 12. · Celta 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Ath Madrid 18 8 8 2 +9 32
5 Sociedad 18 9 4 5 +9 31
6 Getafe 18 8 6 4 +9 30
7 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +3 28
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
9 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 +6 25
10 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Osasuna 18 5 8 5 +1 23
12 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
13 Betis 18 6 5 7 -6 23
14 Valladolid 18 4 8 6 -6 20
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 18 3 4 11 -14 13
20 Espanol 18 2 4 12 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Celta
12′
Iago Aspas 0–1
N. Araújo
18′
🟨 Okay Yokuşlu
Roger Martí 🟨
21′
26′
🟨 Santi Mina
Half-time 0–1
Enis Bardhi 🟨
47′
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ Rochina
57′
1–1 Roger Martí
60′
65′
🟨 Joseph Aidoo
2–1 Roger Martí
Borja Mayoral
70′
71′
🟨 Brais Méndez
72′
🟨 Néstor Araujo
72′
🟨 Iago Aspas
73′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ J. Aidoo
74′
🔁 Fran Beltrán
↦ Rafinha
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
77′
81′
🔁 G. Fernández
↦ Santi Mina
Coke 🔁
↦ Morales
89′
Borja Mayoral 🟨
90′
3–1 Borja Mayoral
Toño
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
20 Jorge Miramón D
18 Erick Cabaco D
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño D
16 Ruben Rochina M
24 José Campaña M
5 Nemanja Radoja M
10 Enis Bardhi M
11 José Luis Morales F
9 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
1 Oier Olazábal
40 Eliseo
23 Coke
17 Nikola Vukčević
7 Sergio León
8 Hernani
21 Borja Mayoral

Coach: Paco López

Celta

3-5-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
3 David Costas D
2 Hugo Mallo M
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
15 Lucas Olaza M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
27 Francisco Vieites
20 Kevin Vazquez
6 Denis Suárez
8 Fran Beltran
23 Brais Méndez
19 Gabriel Fernández
11 Pione Sisto

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
3,49
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eduardo Prieto · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.