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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Cadiz
T T U S T
0–0
Full-time
Celta
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
13%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 46%
52%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Celta 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 16 5 2 +28 53
2 Sevilla 24 14 8 2 +20 50
3 Betis 23 12 4 7 +14 40
4 Barcelona 22 10 8 4 +11 38
5 Ath Madrid 22 10 6 6 +8 36
6 Villarreal 23 9 8 6 +15 35
7 Sociedad 22 9 8 5 +1 35
8 Ath Bilbao 23 8 10 5 +5 34
9 Vallecano 22 9 4 9 +3 31
10 Celta 23 8 6 9 +3 30
11 Valencia 23 7 9 7 -1 30
12 Osasuna 23 7 8 8 -5 29
13 Espanol 23 7 6 10 -5 27
14 Elche 24 6 8 10 -7 26
15 Getafe 23 6 7 10 -3 25
16 Granada 23 5 9 9 -8 24
17 Mallorca 22 5 8 9 -15 23
18 Cadiz 23 3 9 11 -18 18
19 Alaves 23 4 5 14 -21 17
20 Levante 22 1 8 13 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Celta
25′
🟨 Franco Cervi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Solari
↦ F. Cervi
52′
🟨 Javi Galán
Alberto Perea 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
64′
Alejo 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
64′
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ Salvi
64′
76′
🔁 Thiago Galhardo
↦ Denis Suárez
77′
🔁 R. Tapia
↦ Iago Aspas
J. Jønsson 🔁
↦ T. Alarcón
80′
Jeremías Ledesma 🟨
82′
Jens Jønsson 🟨
88′
Luis Hernández 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
23 Luis Hernández D
15 Carlos Akapo D
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
7 Salvi M
12 T. Alarcón M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
11 O. Idrissi M
Bench (12)
10 Alberto Perea
14 Alejo
25 Lucas Pérez
2 J. Jønsson
16 Juan Cala
19 S. Arzamendia
21 Sobrino
6 José Mari
36 Raúl Parra
8 Álex
13 David Gil
5 V. Haroyan

Coach: Sergio

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araujo D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
11 F. Cervi M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (11)
21 A. Solari
7 Thiago Galhardo
14 R. Tapia
20 Kevin Vázquez
37 Coke Carrillo
28 Carlos Domínguez
19 José Fontán
24 J. Murillo
18 O. Pineda
13 Rubén Blanco
9 Nolito

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,88
U ✓
3,33
B
2,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.