La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cadiz
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | +28 | 53 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | +20 | 50 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 40 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +11 | 38 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +8 | 36 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 35 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +1 | 35 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 34 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 31 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 30 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 26 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 25 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -15 | 23 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 17 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -25 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Víctor Chust
D
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Coach: Sergio
M. Dituro
G
Javier Galán
D
Denis Suárez
M
Fran Beltrán
M
Iago Aspas
F
Coach: E. Coudet
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mallorca
Cadiz
Levante
Cadiz
Cadiz
Espanol
Osasuna
Cadiz
Cadiz
Sevilla
Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.