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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Madrid

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Cadiz

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Cadiz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,5

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 34%

52%

15%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 54%

59%

48%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

23 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Cadiz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	27	19	6	2	+35	63
2	Sevilla	27	15	10	2	+21	55
3	Barcelona	26	13	9	4	+19	48
4	Ath Madrid	27	14	6	7	+15	48
5	Betis	27	14	4	9	+14	46
6	Sociedad	27	12	8	7	-1	44
7	Villarreal	27	11	9	7	+21	42
8	Ath Bilbao	27	10	10	7	+6	40
9	Valencia	27	9	9	9	-2	36
10	Celta	27	9	8	10	+2	35
11	Osasuna	27	9	8	10	-5	35
12	Espanol	27	8	8	11	-7	32
13	Vallecano	26	9	4	13	-4	31
14	Elche	27	7	8	12	-10	29
15	Getafe	27	6	9	12	-6	27
16	Mallorca	27	6	8	13	-19	26
17	Granada	27	5	10	12	-15	25
18	Cadiz	27	4	12	11	-16	24
19	Alaves	27	5	7	15	-23	22
20	Levante	27	3	9	15	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	14	8	4	2	+20	28
4	Ath Madrid	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	Vallecano	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
8	Sociedad	13	7	4	2	+4	25
9	Betis	14	7	2	5	+8	23
10	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+8	23
11	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+6	21
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	14	4	6	4	-1	18
16	Granada	13	4	4	5	-4	16
17	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-8	15
19	Levante	13	2	6	5	-5	12
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
4	Sevilla	14	5	7	2	+4	22
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Osasuna	13	6	2	5	+3	20
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
8	Celta	13	4	5	4	+1	17
9	Ath Bilbao	14	3	8	3	-2	17
10	Valencia	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	13	3	4	6	-9	13
13	Granada	14	1	6	7	-11	9
14	Elche	14	2	3	9	-12	9
15	Mallorca	13	2	2	9	-18	8
16	Espanol	13	1	4	8	-12	7
17	Getafe	14	0	6	8	-12	6
18	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.