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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Ath Madrid

U U S S S

4–0

Full-time

Cadiz

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Cadiz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/8 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

33%

13%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Cadiz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+14	17
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Villarreal	8	4	3	1	+2	15
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Granada	7	4	2	1	+0	14
7	Betis	9	4	0	5	-5	12
8	Barcelona	7	3	2	2	+7	11
9	Getafe	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Elche	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Sevilla	7	3	1	3	+1	10
12	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Ath Bilbao	7	3	0	4	-1	9
14	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Celta	9	1	4	4	-9	7
18	Huesca	9	0	6	3	-8	6
19	Levante	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Valladolid	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Granada	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Betis	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Elche	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Celta	4	1	0	3	-7	3
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Levante	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Sociedad	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Elche	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Betis	5	2	0	3	-5	6
8	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Celta	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Granada	3	1	1	1	-4	4
14	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Valladolid	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.