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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Betis
S T S S T
1–3
Full-time
Ath Madrid
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
54%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 4. · Ath Madrid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 27 19 6 2 +35 63
2 Sevilla 27 15 10 2 +21 55
3 Barcelona 26 13 9 4 +19 48
4 Betis 26 14 4 8 +16 46
5 Ath Madrid 26 13 6 7 +13 45
6 Sociedad 27 12 8 7 -1 44
7 Villarreal 27 11 9 7 +21 42
8 Ath Bilbao 26 9 10 7 +4 37
9 Valencia 27 9 9 9 -2 36
10 Celta 27 9 8 10 +2 35
11 Osasuna 27 9 8 10 -5 35
12 Espanol 27 8 8 11 -7 32
13 Vallecano 26 9 4 13 -4 31
14 Elche 27 7 8 12 -10 29
15 Getafe 27 6 9 12 -6 27
16 Mallorca 27 6 8 13 -19 26
17 Granada 27 5 10 12 -15 25
18 Cadiz 27 4 12 11 -16 24
19 Alaves 27 5 7 15 -23 22
20 Levante 26 3 9 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Madrid
2′
João Félix 0–1
Á. Correa
Tello 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
11′
21′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ Š. Vrsaljko
Borja Iglesias 🟨
23′
27′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ Á. Correa
34′
🟨 Héctor Herrera
Paul Akouokou 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ Renan Lodi
1–1 Tello
Y. Sabaly
50′
Marc Bartra 🟨
50′
G. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ P. Akouokou
58′
61′
João Félix 1–2
Marcos Llorente
63′
🟨 Yannick Carrasco
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Joaquín
66′
Willian José 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
66′
Cristian Tello 🟨
70′
80′
T. Lemar 1–3
A. Griezmann
83′
🔁 L. Suárez
↦ João Félix
83′
🔁 Javier Serrano
↦ R. De Paul
Aitor Ruibal 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
5 Marc Bartra D
23 Y. Sabaly D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado D
14 William Carvalho M
4 P. Akouokou M
8 N. Fekir M
9 Borja Iglesias F
24 Aitor Ruibal M
Bench (9)
11 Tello
21 G. Rodríguez
7 Juanmi
12 Willian José
1 Joel Robles
16 G. Pezzella
20 D. Lainez
3 Edgar González
13 Rui Silva

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Ath Madrid

5-3-2
13 J. Oblak G
24 Š. Vrsaljko D
18 Felipe D
2 J. Giménez D
23 Reinildo D
12 Renan Lodi D
16 H. Herrera M
5 R. De Paul M
14 Marcos Llorente M
10 Á. Correa F
7 João Félix F
Bench (8)
21 Y. Carrasco
8 A. Griezmann
11 T. Lemar
9 L. Suárez
26 Javier Serrano
36 Carlos Martín
1 B. Lecomte
32 Marco Moreno

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,29
B ✓
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.