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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Cadiz
T U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Getafe
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
9 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Getafe 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 24 16 6 2 +28 54
2 Sevilla 24 14 8 2 +20 50
3 Betis 24 13 4 7 +16 43
4 Ath Madrid 25 12 6 7 +11 42
5 Villarreal 25 10 9 6 +18 39
6 Barcelona 23 10 9 4 +11 39
7 Sociedad 23 10 8 5 +3 38
8 Ath Bilbao 24 8 10 6 +4 34
9 Osasuna 25 8 8 9 -5 32
10 Celta 24 8 7 9 +3 31
11 Vallecano 24 9 4 11 -1 31
12 Valencia 24 7 9 8 -2 30
13 Elche 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Espanol 24 7 7 10 -5 28
15 Mallorca 23 6 8 9 -14 26
16 Getafe 24 6 7 11 -4 25
17 Granada 25 5 9 11 -13 24
18 Alaves 24 5 5 14 -20 20
19 Cadiz 24 3 10 11 -18 19
20 Levante 24 2 8 14 -26 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Getafe
4′
ℹ️ Borja Mayoral
VAR: Penalty awarded
Álvaro Negredo 🟨
5′
6′
Borja Mayoral 0–1
19′
🟨 Okay Yokuşlu
Alfonso Espino 🟨
32′
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Álvaro Negredo
A. Espino
48′
51′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
61′
🔁 E. Cabaco
↦ S. Mitrović
61′
🔁 Florentino Luís
↦ O. Yokuşlu
Juan Cala 🔁
↦ Fali Jiménez
65′
68′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ Borja Mayoral
Sobrino 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
79′
Salvi 🔁
↦ Carlos Akapo
79′
82′
🟨 Damián Suárez
José Mari 🔁
↦ Fede
85′
94′
🟨 Jakub Jankto
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

3-4-1-2
1 J. Ledesma G
23 Luis Hernández D
15 Carlos Akapo M
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino M
32 Víctor Chust D
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
24 Fede M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
25 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (11)
16 Juan Cala
21 Sobrino
7 Salvi
6 José Mari
10 Alberto Perea
5 V. Haroyan
11 O. Idrissi
19 S. Arzamendia
13 David Gil
2 J. Jønsson
14 Alejo

Coach: Sergio

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
23 S. Mitrović D
2 D. Dakonam D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
19 O. Yokuşlu M
18 M. Arambarri M
24 Óscar Rodríguez M
16 J. Jankto D
10 E. Ünal F
25 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (12)
3 E. Cabaco
5 Florentino Luís
12 Sandro Ramírez
27 Diego Conde
21 Juan Iglesias
14 J. Silva
20 N. Maksimović
1 Rubén Yáñez
6 Gonzalo Villar
7 Mata
8 Vitolo
4 G. Álvarez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,19
U ✓
2,94
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,86
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.