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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Elche
S U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Getafe
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 25%
27%
22%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
51%
30%
Both score Ø 43%
51%
35%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 15. · Getafe 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 38 26 8 4 +49 86
2 Barcelona 37 21 10 6 +32 73
3 Ath Madrid 37 20 8 9 +21 68
4 Sevilla 37 17 16 4 +22 67
5 Betis 38 19 8 11 +22 65
6 Sociedad 37 17 11 9 +4 62
7 Villarreal 37 15 11 11 +24 56
8 Ath Bilbao 37 14 13 10 +8 55
9 Valencia 38 11 15 12 -5 48
10 Osasuna 37 12 11 14 -12 47
11 Celta 38 12 10 16 +0 46
12 Vallecano 38 11 9 18 -11 42
13 Espanol 37 10 11 16 -13 41
14 Getafe 37 8 15 14 -6 39
15 Elche 37 10 9 18 -14 39
16 Granada 37 8 13 16 -17 37
17 Cadiz 37 7 15 15 -17 36
18 Mallorca 37 9 9 19 -29 36
19 Levante 38 8 11 19 -25 35
20 Alaves 37 8 7 22 -33 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Getafe
33′
E. Ünal 0–1
J. Jankto
36′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
1–1 L. Olaza
37′
Half-time 1–1
Pedro Bigas 🟨
51′
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ G. Carrillo
60′
Fidel 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
60′
60′
🔁 Gonzalo Villar
↦ Carles Aleñá
Gerard Gumbau 🟨
62′
Kike Pérez 🔁
↦ J. Pastore
69′
Raúl Guti 🔁
↦ Gumbau
70′
74′
🔁 N. Maksimović
↦ Borja Mayoral
75′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
Josan Ferrández 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
77′
82′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ Juan Iglesias
82′
🔁 D. Suárez
↦ J. Jankto
2–1 Kike Pérez
Josan Ferrández
84′
87′
🟨 Djené
3–1 Kike Pérez
Fidel
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Elche

3-4-2-1
1 Kiko Casilla G
3 E. Roco D
6 Bigas D
12 L. Olaza M
15 J. Pastore F
21 Omar Mascarell M
2 Gumbau M
26 John Nwankwo D
7 G. Carrillo F
10 Pere Milla F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (10)
18 E. Ponce
16 Fidel
24 Kike Pérez
8 Raúl Guti
17 Josan Ferrández
4 Diego González
13 Edgar Badia
28 Lluís Andreu
14 H. Palacios
20 P. Piatti

Coach: Francisco

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
23 S. Mitrović D
2 D. Dakonam D
21 Juan Iglesias D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
18 M. Arambarri M
11 Carles Aleñá M
24 Óscar Rodríguez M
16 J. Jankto D
10 E. Ünal F
25 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (10)
6 Gonzalo Villar
20 N. Maksimović
12 Sandro Ramírez
19 O. Yokuşlu
22 D. Suárez
5 Florentino Luís
8 Vitolo
4 G. Álvarez
1 Rubén Yáñez
27 Diego Conde

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,12
U
2,92
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.