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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Celta
T U T T S
0–2
Full-time
Getafe
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
34%
34%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
9 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 11. · Getafe 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 32 23 6 3 +38 75
2 Ath Madrid 33 18 7 8 +20 61
3 Barcelona 31 17 9 5 +28 60
4 Sevilla 32 16 12 4 +21 60
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 32 15 10 7 +2 55
7 Villarreal 33 14 10 9 +22 52
8 Ath Bilbao 32 11 12 9 +4 45
9 Osasuna 32 12 8 12 -8 44
10 Valencia 33 10 12 11 -4 42
11 Celta 32 10 9 13 +1 39
12 Espanol 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Elche 33 10 8 15 -8 38
14 Vallecano 31 9 7 15 -6 34
15 Getafe 32 7 11 14 -8 32
16 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
17 Cadiz 32 6 13 13 -16 31
18 Granada 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Levante 32 5 10 17 -23 25
20 Alaves 33 6 7 20 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Getafe
Jeison Murillo 🟨
-5′
9′
🟨 Jorge Cuenca
23′
Borja Mayoral 0–1
Óscar Rodríguez
38′
🟨 Borja Mayoral
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Óscar Rodríguez
51′
Borja Mayoral 0–2
E. Ünal
56′
🟨 Florentino Luís
Nolito 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
57′
A. Solari 🔁
↦ Kevin Vázquez
57′
Augusto Solari 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Mathías Olivera
70′
ℹ️ Enes Ünal
VAR: Goal cancelled
Thiago Galhardo 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
72′
O. Pineda 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
82′
91′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
91′
🔁 Carles Aleñá
↦ Borja Mayoral
95′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ Florentino Luís
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-3-1-2
1 M. Dituro G
4 N. Araujo D
20 Kevin Vázquez D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
11 F. Cervi M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (10)
9 Nolito
21 A. Solari
7 Thiago Galhardo
18 O. Pineda
37 Coke Carrillo
24 J. Murillo
28 Carlos Domínguez
19 José Fontán
14 R. Tapia
13 Rubén Blanco

Coach: E. Coudet

Getafe

3-5-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez M
23 S. Mitrović D
2 D. Dakonam D
17 M. Olivera M
15 Jorge Cuenca D
18 M. Arambarri M
24 Óscar Rodríguez M
5 Florentino Luís M
10 E. Ünal F
25 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (10)
12 Sandro Ramírez
11 Carles Aleñá
19 O. Yokuşlu
1 Rubén Yáñez
8 Vitolo
4 G. Álvarez
27 Diego Conde
21 Juan Iglesias
6 Gonzalo Villar
16 J. Jankto

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,07
B ✓
3,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.