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Süper Lig
Referee: F Aydınus
Karagumruk
U S S S U
0–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 46%
43%
49%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
51%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
49%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Alanyaspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 37 23 12 2 +35 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 21 10 7 +35 73
3 Konyaspor 38 20 8 10 +21 68
4 Buyuksehyr 37 18 8 11 +18 62
5 Alanyaspor 37 18 7 12 +8 61
6 Besiktas 38 15 14 9 +8 59
7 Antalyaspor 38 16 11 11 +7 59
8 Karagumruk 37 16 9 12 -4 57
9 Sivasspor 38 14 12 12 +2 54
10 Kasimpasa 38 15 8 15 +10 53
11 Ad. Demirspor 37 14 10 13 +6 52
12 Galatasaray 38 14 10 14 -2 52
13 Hatayspor 37 14 8 15 -7 50
14 Kayserispor 38 12 11 15 -7 47
15 Gaziantep 38 12 10 16 -8 46
16 Giresunspor 37 12 9 16 -3 45
17 Rizespor 38 10 6 22 -27 36
18 Altay 38 9 7 22 -18 34
19 Goztep 37 7 7 23 -30 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 38 5 5 28 -44 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Alanyaspor
33′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
37′
E. Karaca 0–1
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Leroy Fer
62′
🔁 Wilson Eduardo
↦ F. Diédhiou
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ A. Ugur
66′
A. Musa 🔁
↦ F. Borini
74′
S. Onur 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
74′
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ E. Mor
74′
75′
🔁 O. Aydın
↦ Candeias
75′
🔁 İ. Zehir
↦ L. Fer
K. Bistrović 🔁
↦ L. Biglia
86′
86′
🔁 E. Aydoğan
↦ U. Güneş
87′
🔁 Ç. Erciyas
↦ Juanfran
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
4 D. Biraschi D
25 D. Luckassen D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
9 E. Mor M
77 A. Ugur M
72 A. Pešić F
16 F. Borini M
92 Y. Karamoh M
Bench (10)
10 J. Durmaz
7 A. Musa
22 S. Onur
18 L. Mercan
23 K. Bistrović
21 U. Yuvakuran
60 A. Erdem
94 A. Touré
30 S. Dursun
29 J. Balkovec

Coach: A. Canel

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kırıntılı G
24 Juanfran D
15 C. Awaziem D
20 F. Aksoy D
35 F. Bayır D
4 L. Fer M
21 Candeias M
7 E. Karaca M
18 João Novais M
6 U. Güneş M
14 F. Diédhiou F
Bench (10)
17 Wilson Eduardo
70 O. Aydın
34 İ. Zehir
16 E. Aydoğan
39 Ç. Erciyas
28 Marafona
87 Ü. Akdağ
84 B. Alpşanlı
46 M. Kartal
25 M. Mevlja

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,68
B ✓
2,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Aydınus · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.