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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ekberg
Varberg
T U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Degerfors
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,9
3,3
Scored
0,6
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Varberg 13. · Degerfors 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AIK 10 6 2 2 +3 20
2 Hammarby 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Hacken 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Djurgarden 9 4 3 2 +9 15
5 Malmo FF 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Mjallby 8 4 2 2 +3 14
7 Sirius 9 4 2 3 -4 14
8 Norrkoping 8 4 1 3 +5 13
9 Kalmar 8 4 0 4 +3 12
10 Elfsborg 8 3 2 3 +6 11
11 Goteborg 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Varnamo 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Varberg 8 2 2 4 -5 8
14 Degerfors 8 2 0 6 -12 6
15 Helsingborg 10 1 2 7 -8 5
16 Sundsvall 8 1 0 7 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Degerfors
1–0 G. Mensah
A. Boman
33′
Half-time 1–0
Tashreeq Matthews 🟥
54′
57′
D. Campos 1–1
R. Örqvist
Gideon Mensah 🟨
59′
S. Karlsson Adjei 🔁
↦ D. Kunst
61′
V. Karlsson 🔁
↦ A. Johansson
61′
J. Birkfeldt 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
61′
Oliver Stanisic 🟨
69′
69′
🟨 Alfie Whiteman
73′
🔁 J. Bertilsson
↦ A. Rajamohan
83′
🔁 D. Krezic
↦ E. Lindell
83′
🔁 A. Carlén
↦ J. Salmon
Albin Winbo 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Abdelrahman Saidi
90′
🟥 Sebastian Ohlsson
92′
🔁 S. Sabetkar
↦ D. Campos
2–1 A. Winbo
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Varberg

3-5-2
29 F. Andersson G
18 J. Lindner D
3 H. Zackrisson D
4 O. Stanisic D
15 G. Mensah M
8 L. Le Roux M
6 A. Winbo M
10 T. Matthews F
22 A. Boman M
32 D. Kunst M
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (7)
12 S. Karlsson Adjei
21 V. Karlsson
2 J. Birkfeldt
33 J. Burke
1 P. Mårtensson
14 O. Alfonsi
30 J. Sundström

Coach: J. Persson

Degerfors

4-3-3
1 A. Whiteman G
2 G. Granath D
17 A. Kralj D
7 S. Ohlsson D
23 A. Rajamohan F
16 R. Örqvist M
11 C. Gravius M
12 E. Lindell D
19 A. Saidi F
8 D. Campos F
22 J. Salmon M
Bench (7)
9 J. Bertilsson
14 D. Krezic
21 A. Carlén
4 S. Sabetkar
40 N. Đurđić
25 J. Gal
10 D. Vukojević

Coach: T. Solberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.