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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Girona

T S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Celta

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 8. · Celta 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Girona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.