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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Barcelona
S U T U S
4–0
Full-time
Valladolid
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 6. · Valladolid 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Betis 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 -1 6
6 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Mallorca 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Celta 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Ath Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Girona 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Valencia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Cadiz 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Valladolid
1–0 R. Lewandowski
Raphinha
24′
2–0 Pedri
O. Dembélé
43′
Ronald Araújo 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Roque Mesa
↦ Álvaro Aguado
46′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ Monchu
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Raphinha
61′
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ R. Araújo
61′
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Gavi
61′
61′
🔁 Toni Villa
↦ Iván Sánchez
61′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Sergi Guardiola
3–0 R. Lewandowski
O. Dembélé
65′
F. Kessié 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
76′
76′
🔁 Roberto Arroyo
↦ A. Tuhami
78′
🟨 Javi Sánchez
79′
🟨 Kike Pérez
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
82′
4–0 Sergi Roberto
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araújo D
24 Eric García D
28 Álex Balde D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 O. Dembélé F
Bench (12)
10 Ansu Fati
20 Sergi Roberto
21 F. de Jong
19 F. Kessié
11 Ferran Torres
3 Piqué
18 Jordi Alba
17 P. Aubameyang
26 Iñaki Peña
14 M. Depay
36 Arnau Tenas
16 M. Pjanić

Coach: Xavi

Valladolid

4-1-4-1
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
24 Joaquín Fernández D
5 Javier Sánchez D
18 Escudero D
8 Monchu M
21 Iván Sánchez M
4 Kike Pérez M
6 Álvaro Aguado M
23 A. Tuhami M
16 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (10)
17 Roque Mesa
10 Óscar Plano
19 Toni Villa
7 Sergio León
30 Roberto Arroyo
31 Álvaro Aceves
12 L. Olaza
27 Iván Fresneda
32 David Torres
22 S. Gassama

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
8,47
B
17,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.