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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
Valencia
U U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Girona
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Valencia Girona
14′
🟨 Yan Couto
44′
🟨 Samu Sáiz
45′
🟨 Valery Fernández
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Carlos Soler
46′
Eray Cömert ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
51′
Eray Cömert 🟥
52′
Cristhian Mosquera 🔁
↦ Hugo Duro
53′
Thierry Correia 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 Oscar Ureña
↦ Samuel Sáiz
61′
🔁 Miguel Gutiérrez
↦ Valery
62′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ David López
D. Foulquier 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
63′
Jesús Vázquez 🟨
69′
M. Gómez 🔁
↦ Samuel Lino
73′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ Jesús Vázquez
73′
Nico González 🔁
↦ Samu Castillejo
74′
74′
🔁 Y. Herrera
↦ Ramón Terrats
82′
🔁 Arnau Martínez
↦ Yan Couto
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
28 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
24 E. Cömert D
12 M. Diakhaby D
32 Jesús Vázquez D
4 Y. Musah M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
10 Carlos Soler M
11 Samu Castillejo F
19 Hugo Duro F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
33 Cristhian Mosquera
20 D. Foulquier
9 M. Gómez
3 Toni Lato
17 Nico González
1 Jaume Doménech
21 Manu Vallejo
29 Fran Pérez
8 U. Račić
22 Marcos André
18 K. Koindredi
13 Cristian Rivero

Coach: G. Gattuso

Girona

3-4-2-1
1 Juan Carlos G
22 S. Bueno D
5 David López D
15 Juanpe D
20 Yan Couto M
8 Ramón Terrats M
14 Aleix García M
11 Valery M
17 Rodrigo Riquelme F
10 Samuel Sáiz F
9 V. Castellanos F
Bench (11)
32 Oscar Ureña
3 Miguel Gutiérrez
7 C. Stuani
21 Y. Herrera
4 Arnau Martínez
31 Eric Monjonell
36 Ricard Artero
35 Pau Victor
34 Álex Sala
33 Joel Casals
30 Matas

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,50
B
4,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.