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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Valladolid
T S S S S
0–3
Full-time
Villarreal
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Valladolid Villarreal
Half-time 0–1
49′
N. Jackson 0–1
Roque Mesa 🟨
52′
Kike Pérez 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
55′
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ G. Plata
56′
S. Gassama 🔁
↦ Sergio León
56′
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ Toni Villa
62′
63′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ F. Coquelin
63′
🔁 Álex Baena
↦ Yeremi Pino
71′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ Gerard Moreno
L. Olaza 🔁
↦ Escudero
79′
81′
Álex Baena 0–2
S. Chukwueze
88′
🔁 A. Mandi
↦ J. Foyth
90′
Álex Baena 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-1-4-1
25 Asenjo G
2 Luis Pérez D
24 Joaquín Fernández D
15 J. El Yamiq D
18 Escudero D
8 Monchu M
11 G. Plata M
17 Roque Mesa M
6 Álvaro Aguado M
19 Toni Villa M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (12)
4 Kike Pérez
21 Iván Sánchez
22 S. Gassama
10 Óscar Plano
12 L. Olaza
1 Jordi Masip
32 David Torres
30 Roberto Arroyo
31 Álvaro Aceves
27 Iván Fresneda
5 Javier Sánchez
23 A. Tuhami

Coach: Pacheta

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 G. Rulli G
8 J. Foyth D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
24 Pedraza D
21 Yeremi Pino M
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
7 Gerard Moreno F
26 N. Jackson F
Bench (9)
11 S. Chukwueze
30 Álex Baena
22 José Luis Morales
23 A. Mandi
1 Pepe Reina
35 F. Jörgensen
5 Jorge Cuenca
20 Manu Morlanes
12 P. Estupiñán

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,93
U
3,66
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.