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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Real Madrid

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Sevilla

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

90%

20%

Points per game

2,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 75%

80%

70%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Sevilla 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Barcelona	10	8	1	1	+20	25
3	Sociedad	11	7	1	3	+3	22
4	Ath Madrid	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Betis	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Ath Bilbao	10	5	3	2	+11	18
7	Osasuna	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+6	15
9	Valencia	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Vallecano	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Valladolid	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Mallorca	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Sevilla	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Almeria	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Celta	10	3	1	6	-9	10
16	Espanol	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Girona	10	2	2	6	-4	8
19	Cadiz	11	1	4	6	-17	7
20	Elche	10	0	3	7	-18	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Valencia	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Valladolid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+6	7
12	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Celta	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+7	8
6	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Betis	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Cadiz	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Celta	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Girona	5	0	1	4	-4	1
19	Almeria	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Elche	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.