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Champions League
Referee: S Frappart
Real Madrid
S S S T U
5–1
Full-time
Celtic
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
25 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 8
9 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 Celtic – Real Madrid 0–3

Match report

Real Madrid Celtic
1–0 L. Modrić ⚽
6′
Rodrygo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
20′
20′
🟨 Matt O'Riley
2–0 Rodrygo ⚽
21′
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Kyogo Furuhashi
3–0 Marco Asensio ⚽
51′
4–0 Vinícius Júnior ⚽
F. Valverde
61′
62′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ K. Furuhashi
K. Benzema 🔁
↦ Vinícius Júnior
63′
63′
🔁 Jota
↦ L. Abada
63′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ A. Mooy
63′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ D. Maeda
Lucas Vázquez 🔁
↦ Dani Carvajal
64′
Nacho 🔁
↦ D. Alaba
66′
Dani Ceballos 🔁
↦ L. Modrić
66′
5–0 F. Valverde ⚽
Lucas Vázquez
71′
Vallejo 🔁
↦ Éder Militão
73′
82′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ R. Hatate
84′
⚽ Jota 5–1
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
2 Dani Carvajal D
3 Éder Militão D
4 D. Alaba D
23 F. Mendy D
15 F. Valverde M
8 T. Kroos M
10 L. Modrić M
11 Marco Asensio F
21 Rodrygo F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (11)
9 K. Benzema
17 Lucas Vázquez
6 Nacho
19 Dani Ceballos
5 Vallejo
16 Odriozola
12 E. Camavinga
13 A. Lunin
24 M. Díaz
26 Luis López
22 A. Rüdiger

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Celtic

4-5-1
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
4 C. Starfelt D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
11 L. Abada M
13 A. Mooy M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
38 D. Maeda M
8 K. Furuhashi F
Bench (12)
7 G. Giakoumakis
17 Jota
14 D. Turnbull
9 S. Hakšabanović
28 O. Abildgaard
56 A. Ralston
29 S. Bain
57 S. Welsh
31 B. Siegrist
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabei
16 J. McCarthy

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.