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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Cadiz
S U T U T
0–2
Full-time
Alaves
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 12%
11%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 35%
56%
13%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
23 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 17. · Alaves 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +5 20
2 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
3 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Sevilla 8 5 2 1 +8 17
5 Ath Madrid 8 5 2 1 +5 17
6 Vallecano 9 5 1 3 +6 16
7 Barcelona 8 4 3 1 +6 15
8 Betis 9 4 3 2 +3 15
9 Ath Bilbao 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Espanol 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Mallorca 10 3 3 4 -6 12
13 Villarreal 8 2 5 1 +4 11
14 Elche 9 2 3 4 -4 9
15 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
16 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
17 Cadiz 9 1 4 4 -6 7
18 Levante 9 0 5 4 -7 5
19 Alaves 8 1 0 7 -11 3
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Alaves
6′
Joselu 0–1
27′
🟨 Matthew Miazga
Half-time 0–1
Álex 🔁
↦ T. Alarcón
46′
J. Jønsson 🔁
↦ Víctor Chust
46′
56′
🔁 Pere Pons
↦ Manu García
56′
🔁 Edgar Méndez
↦ F. Pellistri
67′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
A. Lozano 🔁
↦ Salvi
68′
77′
🔁 Miguel de la Fuente
↦ Luis Rioja
Álvaro Jiménez 🔁
↦ Sobrino
84′
85′
🔁 Pina
↦ Toni Moya
91′
Joselu 0–2
Miguel de la Fuente
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
5 V. Haroyan D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez M
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
7 Salvi M
12 T. Alarcón M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
10 Alberto Perea M
21 Sobrino F
Bench (12)
8 Álex
2 J. Jønsson
9 A. Lozano
11 Álvaro Jiménez
30 Álvaro Bastida
17 F. Andone
19 S. Arzamendia
14 Alejo
16 Juan Cala
27 Iván Chapela
13 David Gil
15 Carlos Akapo

Coach: Álvaro

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
4 M. Miazga D
14 Manu García M
15 Toni Moya M
6 M. Loum M
18 F. Pellistri M
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (12)
20 Pere Pons
17 Edgar Méndez
24 Miguel de la Fuente
8 Pina
2 Alberto Rodríguez
10 J. Guidetti
13 Sivera
19 Iván Martín
27 Javi López
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
22 F. Lejeune
7 M. Sylla

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U
2,96
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.