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La Liga
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Getafe
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Mallorca
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
41%
27%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 1,49
50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 12. · Mallorca 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 38 29 8 1 +61 +34.8 95
2 Barcelona 37 25 7 5 +34 +37.2 82
3 Girona 38 25 6 7 +39 +16.6 81
4 Ath Madrid 38 24 4 10 +27 +22.9 76
5 Ath Bilbao 38 19 11 8 +24 +10.7 68
6 Sociedad 38 16 12 10 +12 +3.6 60
7 Betis 38 14 15 9 +3 -5.4 57
8 Villarreal 38 14 11 13 +0 -2.8 53
9 Valencia 37 13 9 15 -5 -4.8 48
10 Alaves 37 12 9 16 -10 +0.4 45
11 Osasuna 38 12 9 17 -11 -9.0 45
12 Getafe 37 10 13 14 -11 -7.4 43
13 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 -5 -11.8 41
14 Celta 37 10 10 17 -11 -4.1 40
15 Las Palmas 37 10 9 18 -14 -21.9 39
16 Vallecano 38 8 14 16 -19 -1.9 38
17 Mallorca 37 7 16 14 -12 -3.5 37
18 Cadiz 38 6 15 17 -29 -16.6 33
19 Almeria 38 3 12 23 -32 -13.5 21
20 Granada 38 4 9 25 -41 -23.4 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Mallorca
30′
🟨 Nacho Vidal
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Gastón Álvarez
Óscar Rodríguez
48′
57′
🔁 Cyle Larin
↦ Antonio Sánchez
57′
🔁 Vedat Muriqi
↦ Abdón Prats
57′
🔁 Dani Rodríguez
↦ Nemanja Radonjić
Yellu Santiago 🔁
↦ Luis Milla
67′
Carles Aleñá 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
67′
70′
🔁 Omar Mascarell
↦ Sergi Darder
70′
🔁 Pablo Maffeo
↦ Javi Llabrés
Jordi Martín 🔁
↦ Alberto Risco
71′
José Ángel Carmona 🔁
↦ Djené
71′
73′
🟨 Dani Rodríguez
Daniel Fuzato 🔁
↦ David Soria
84′
90′
Vedat Muriqi 1–1
Antonio Raíllo
93′
Pablo Maffeo 1–2
Manu Morlanes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Getafe

4-1-4-1
13 David Soria G
2 Djené D
30 Nabil Aberdin D
15 Omar Alderete D
4 Gastón Álvarez D
5 Luis Milla M
12 Mason Greenwood M
37 Alberto Risco M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
9 Óscar Rodríguez M
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (9)
11 Carles Aleñá
25 Yellu Santiago
32 Jordi Martín
18 José Ángel Carmona
1 Daniel Fuzato
40 Djordjije Medenica
34 Sergio Gimeno
3 Fabrizio Angileri
38 Jeremy Jorge

Coach: José Bordalás

Mallorca

4-1-4-1
25 Iván Cuéllar G
22 Nacho Vidal D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Antonio Raíllo D
11 Jaume Costa D
8 Manu Morlanes M
19 Javi Llabrés M
18 Antonio Sánchez M
10 Sergi Darder M
23 Nemanja Radonjić M
9 Abdón Prats F
Bench (10)
14 Dani Rodríguez
17 Cyle Larin
7 Vedat Muriqi
15 Pablo Maffeo
5 Omar Mascarell
13 Dominik Greif
1 Predrag Rajković
20 Giovanni González
3 Toni Lato
12 Samuel Costa

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,22
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Victor Garcia Verdura · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.