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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Mallorca
T U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Almeria
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 13%
19%
6%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
25%
64%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
61%
Average goals
1,9
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,01 xG 0,42
51% Possession 49%
29 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Almeria 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 29 6 1 +61 +35.5 93
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +31 +37.2 79
3 Girona 36 23 6 7 +30 +13.6 75
4 Ath Madrid 36 23 4 9 +28 +21.7 73
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 11 8 +21 +10.4 62
6 Sociedad 36 15 12 9 +12 +6.4 57
7 Betis 36 14 14 8 +5 -6.6 56
8 Villarreal 36 14 9 13 +0 -4.2 51
9 Valencia 36 13 9 14 -3 -5.3 48
10 Alaves 37 12 9 16 -10 +0.4 45
11 Getafe 37 10 13 14 -11 -7.4 43
12 Sevilla 36 10 11 15 -3 -11.1 41
13 Osasuna 36 11 8 17 -14 -8.7 41
14 Las Palmas 36 10 8 18 -14 -21.6 38
15 Vallecano 36 8 14 14 -15 -2.3 38
16 Celta 36 9 10 17 -12 -3.8 37
17 Mallorca 36 7 15 14 -12 -6.1 36
18 Cadiz 36 6 14 16 -24 -14.2 32
19 Granada 36 4 9 23 -33 -20.0 21
20 Almeria 36 2 11 23 -37 -13.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Almeria
Antonio Raíllo 🟨
18′
1–0 Cyle Larin
José Copete
29′
José Copete 🟨
37′
41′
Sergio Arribas 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Omar Mascarell 🔁
↦ Samuel Costa
46′
47′
🟨 Luka Romero
58′
🔁 Lucas Robertone
↦ Gonzalo Melero
62′
🟨 Lucas Robertone
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
63′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Cyle Larin
63′
64′
🟨 Sergio Arribas
65′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ Luis Javier Suárez
65′
🔁 Anthony Lozano
↦ Luka Romero
66′
Bruno Langa 1–2
Sergio Arribas
Nemanja Radonjić 🔁
↦ José Copete
69′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
76′
82′
🔁 Adrián Embarba
↦ Sergio Arribas
82′
🔁 Aleksandar Radovanović
↦ Álex Centelles
2–2 Sergi Darder
Antonio Raíllo
83′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 Predrag Rajković G
20 Giovanni González D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Antonio Raíllo D
6 José Copete D
11 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
12 Samuel Costa M
10 Sergi Darder M
17 Cyle Larin F
7 Vedat Muriqi F
Bench (12)
5 Omar Mascarell
8 Manu Morlanes
9 Abdón Prats
23 Nemanja Radonjić
3 Toni Lato
13 Dominik Greif
25 Iván Cuéllar
22 Nacho Vidal
2 Matija Nastasić
15 Pablo Maffeo
18 Antonio Sánchez
19 Javi Llabrés

Coach: J. Aguirre

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
17 Alejandro Pozo D
22 César Montes D
21 Chumi D
24 Bruno Langa D
3 Edgar González M
11 Gonzalo Melero M
38 Luka Romero M
19 Sergio Arribas M
20 Álex Centelles M
9 Luis Javier Suárez F
Bench (10)
5 Lucas Robertone
12 Léo Baptistão
15 Anthony Lozano
16 Aleksandar Radovanović
10 Adrián Embarba
1 Diego Mariño
25 Luís Maximiano
18 Marc Pubill
8 Jonathan Viera
23 Ibrahima Kone

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U ✓
4,18
B
6,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.