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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Brondby

U T T S S

2–3

Full-time

Aarhus

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

32%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

65%

45%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

12 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 1. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	31	18	8	5	+26	+6.5	62
2	Midtjylland	31	19	5	7	+19	+9.8	62
3	FC Copenhagen	31	18	4	9	+26	+18.9	58
4	Nordsjaelland	31	16	9	6	+26	+5.7	57
5	Aarhus	31	10	11	10	-5	+5.0	41
6	Randers FC	32	10	11	11	-8	+2.6	41
7	Viborg	32	11	7	14	-10	-2.0	40
8	Vejle	32	9	9	14	-4	-19.5	36
9	Lyngby	32	9	9	14	-14	-6.4	36
10	Silkeborg	31	10	5	16	-11	+5.7	35
11	Odense	32	8	8	16	-11	-7.6	32
12	Hvidovre IF	32	4	8	20	-34	-18.5	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	16	9	6	1	+20	+6.9	33
2	Midtjylland	15	10	3	2	+16	+9.1	33
3	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+13	+7.1	30
4	FC Copenhagen	15	9	1	5	+14	+15.0	28
5	Viborg	16	8	4	4	+6	-0.4	28
6	Lyngby	16	6	7	3	+6	+0.2	25
7	Randers FC	16	6	6	4	+0	+5.6	24
8	Vejle	16	6	4	6	+3	-4.4	22
9	Aarhus	16	6	4	6	-3	+4.3	22
10	Silkeborg	16	6	3	7	+0	+8.1	21
11	Odense	16	1	3	12	-17	-3.3	6
12	Hvidovre IF	16	1	3	12	-22	-5.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	16	9	5	2	+13	-0.6	32
2	FC Copenhagen	16	9	3	4	+12	+4.0	30
3	Midtjylland	16	9	2	5	+3	+0.7	29
4	Odense	16	7	5	4	+6	-4.3	26
5	Nordsjaelland	15	7	3	5	+6	-1.2	24
6	Aarhus	15	4	7	4	-2	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	16	4	5	7	-8	-3.0	17
8	Vejle	16	3	5	8	-7	-15.2	14
9	Silkeborg	15	4	2	9	-11	-2.4	14
10	Hvidovre IF	16	3	5	8	-12	-13.0	14
11	Viborg	16	3	3	10	-16	-1.6	12
12	Lyngby	16	3	2	11	-20	-6.7	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.