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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

St. Gilloise

S U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Genk

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/28 matches

Win Ø 56%

66%

46%

Points per game

2,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

76%

54%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,6

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,25 xG 0,28

45% Possession 55%

21 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Genk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	19	6	4	+47	+38.0	63
2	St. Gilloise	29	19	5	5	+30	+27.6	62
3	Anderlecht	29	17	7	5	+24	+12.6	58
4	Cercle Brugge	29	17	5	7	+22	+7.7	56
5	Gent	29	16	7	6	+29	+20.1	55
6	Mechelen	30	14	6	10	+7	+4.3	48
7	Genk	28	13	8	7	+13	+25.5	47
8	Antwerp	29	11	7	11	+15	+15.9	40
9	Charleroi	30	9	8	13	-15	-10.5	35
10	St Truiden	30	8	10	12	-17	-13.2	34
11	Westerlo	30	7	9	14	-9	-13.5	30
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	7	9	14	-14	-9.0	30
13	Kortrijk	32	8	5	19	-34	-24.9	29
14	Standard	30	5	12	13	-20	-14.8	27
15	RWD Molenbeek	30	6	7	17	-36	-32.4	25
16	Eupen	30	5	3	22	-39	-33.3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	15	12	1	2	+18	+9.4	37
2	Club Brugge	14	10	4	0	+30	+21.7	34
3	Gent	15	9	4	2	+19	+13.0	31
4	Cercle Brugge	15	9	3	3	+18	+7.0	30
5	St. Gilloise	14	9	3	2	+17	+14.8	30
6	Genk	14	8	4	2	+12	+17.3	28
7	Mechelen	15	8	4	3	+11	+8.3	28
8	St Truiden	15	6	5	4	-2	+0.1	23
9	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+15	+13.6	21
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	3	6	+4	-1.5	21
11	Charleroi	15	5	5	5	-3	+2.5	20
12	Standard	15	4	5	6	-5	+0.4	17
13	Westerlo	15	4	4	7	-6	-5.3	16
14	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-13	-13.5	16
15	Kortrijk	16	4	3	9	-11	-7.4	15
16	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-12	-12.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	10	2	3	+13	+12.8	32
2	Club Brugge	15	9	2	4	+17	+16.3	29
3	Cercle Brugge	14	8	2	4	+4	+0.6	26
4	Gent	14	7	3	4	+10	+7.1	24
5	Anderlecht	14	5	6	3	+6	+3.2	21
6	Mechelen	15	6	2	7	-4	-4.0	20
7	Genk	14	5	4	5	+1	+8.2	19
8	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+0	+2.3	19
9	Charleroi	15	4	3	8	-12	-13.0	15
10	Westerlo	15	3	5	7	-3	-8.2	14
11	Kortrijk	16	4	2	10	-23	-17.6	14
12	St Truiden	15	2	5	8	-15	-13.3	11
13	Standard	15	1	7	7	-15	-15.2	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	1	6	8	-18	-7.6	9
15	RWD Molenbeek	15	2	3	10	-23	-18.9	9
16	Eupen	15	1	1	13	-27	-20.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.