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La Liga

Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso

Las Palmas

T T T U U

1–1

Full-time

Alaves

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

30%

Both score Ø 37%

38%

35%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 2,59

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 16. · Alaves 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	38	29	8	1	+61	+34.8	95
2	Barcelona	37	25	7	5	+34	+37.2	82
3	Girona	38	25	6	7	+39	+16.6	81
4	Ath Madrid	38	24	4	10	+27	+22.9	76
5	Ath Bilbao	38	19	11	8	+24	+10.7	68
6	Sociedad	38	16	12	10	+12	+3.6	60
7	Betis	38	14	15	9	+3	-5.4	57
8	Villarreal	38	14	11	13	+0	-2.8	53
9	Valencia	37	13	9	15	-5	-4.8	48
10	Alaves	37	12	9	16	-10	+0.4	45
11	Osasuna	38	12	9	17	-11	-9.0	45
12	Getafe	38	10	13	15	-12	-8.0	43
13	Sevilla	37	10	11	16	-5	-11.8	41
14	Celta	37	10	10	17	-11	-4.1	40
15	Mallorca	38	8	16	14	-11	-2.9	40
16	Las Palmas	37	10	9	18	-14	-21.9	39
17	Vallecano	38	8	14	16	-19	-1.9	38
18	Cadiz	38	6	15	17	-29	-16.6	33
19	Almeria	38	3	12	23	-32	-13.5	21
20	Granada	38	4	9	25	-41	-23.4	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	16	3	0	+39	+25.7	51
2	Ath Madrid	19	16	1	2	+20	+18.2	49
3	Girona	19	15	2	2	+33	+15.6	47
4	Barcelona	19	15	1	3	+22	+21.1	46
5	Ath Bilbao	19	12	6	1	+24	+16.5	42
6	Betis	19	9	7	3	+8	+8.1	34
7	Alaves	19	9	4	6	+4	+7.4	31
8	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+6	+3.0	30
9	Valencia	19	8	6	5	+6	+5.0	30
10	Getafe	19	8	5	6	-2	+2.0	29
11	Villarreal	19	7	5	7	+4	+7.8	26
12	Mallorca	19	6	8	5	+1	+1.4	26
13	Cadiz	19	5	9	5	-3	+4.9	24
14	Sevilla	18	6	5	7	+1	-2.3	23
15	Las Palmas	18	6	5	7	+0	-5.4	23
16	Celta	18	6	5	7	-2	+11.6	23
17	Osasuna	19	6	5	8	-7	-0.7	23
18	Vallecano	19	4	8	7	-8	+0.8	20
19	Granada	19	4	6	9	-8	-1.8	18
20	Almeria	19	1	8	10	-14	+2.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	13	5	1	+22	+9.1	44
2	Barcelona	18	10	6	2	+12	+16.1	36
3	Girona	19	10	4	5	+6	+1.1	34
4	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+6	+0.6	30
5	Ath Madrid	19	8	3	8	+7	+4.7	27
6	Villarreal	19	7	6	6	-4	-10.6	27
7	Ath Bilbao	19	7	5	7	+0	-5.8	26
8	Betis	19	5	8	6	-5	-13.5	23
9	Osasuna	19	6	4	9	-4	-8.3	22
10	Sevilla	19	4	6	9	-6	-9.6	18
11	Valencia	18	5	3	10	-11	-9.8	18
12	Vallecano	19	4	6	9	-11	-2.7	18
13	Celta	19	4	5	10	-9	-15.7	17
14	Las Palmas	19	4	4	11	-14	-16.5	16
15	Getafe	19	2	8	9	-10	-10.1	14
16	Mallorca	19	2	8	9	-12	-4.3	14
17	Alaves	18	3	5	10	-14	-7.0	14
18	Almeria	19	2	4	13	-18	-15.6	10
19	Cadiz	19	1	6	12	-26	-21.5	9
20	Granada	19	0	3	16	-33	-21.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.