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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Valladolid
S U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Espanol
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,80 xG 0,66
45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.8 3
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.2 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
4 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
5 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
6 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
7 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
8 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
9 Real Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
10 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
11 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.8 1
12 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
13 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
14 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
15 Valencia 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.2 0
16 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Espanol
1–0 Raúl Moro ⚽
A. Ndiaye
23′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ Pere Milla
57′
🔁 A. Král
↦ Pol Lozano
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ Javi Sánchez
62′
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
70′
Víctor Meseguer 🔁
↦ S. Amallah
70′
70′
🔁 Antoniu Roca
↦ A. Véliz
70′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Álvaro Tejero
72′
🟨 Antoniu Roca
78′
🔁 Álvaro Aguado
↦ José Gragera
Lucas Rosa 🟨
80′
Chuky 🔁
↦ Kike Pérez
82′
David Torres 🔁
↦ E. Cömert
82′
87′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
Iván Sánchez 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-5-1
13 K. Hein G
2 Luis Pérez D
5 Javi Sánchez D
6 E. Boyomo D
22 Lucas Rosa D
19 A. Ndiaye M
8 Kike Pérez M
15 E. Cömert M
21 S. Amallah M
11 Raúl Moro M
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (12)
20 S. Jurić
10 Iván Sánchez
4 Víctor Meseguer
28 Chuky
3 David Torres
32 Koke
17 S. Biuk
9 Marcos André
16 César de la Hoz
18 D. Machís
26 Arnau Rafús
30 Raúl Chasco

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Espanol

5-3-2
1 Joan García G
12 Álvaro Tejero D
23 O. El Hilali D
3 Sergi Gómez D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 Carlos Romero D
11 Pere Milla M
15 José Gragera M
10 Pol Lozano M
9 A. Véliz F
7 Javi Puado F
Bench (12)
24 I. Cardona
20 A. Král
31 Antoniu Roca
17 Jofre Carreras
18 Álvaro Aguado
14 Brian Oliván
33 Ángel Fortuño
32 O. Sadik
19 Salvi Sánchez
13 Fernando Pacheco
35 Rafel Bauzà
5 Fernando Calero

Coach: Manolo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,10
B
3,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.