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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Alcorcon
S T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
51%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
26%
28%
Both score Ø 30%
31%
28%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 20. · Valladolid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 40 19 13 8 +27 70
2 Eibar 40 20 8 12 +24 68
3 Valladolid 39 20 8 11 +15 68
4 Santander 40 18 10 12 +11 64
5 Espanol 39 15 17 7 +15 62
6 Oviedo 39 16 13 10 +15 61
7 Sp Gijon 40 16 11 13 +7 59
8 Elche 40 16 11 13 +0 59
9 Levante 40 13 18 9 +4 57
10 Burgos 40 16 9 15 -2 57
11 Ferrol 39 15 12 12 -2 57
12 Tenerife 40 14 10 16 -4 52
13 Cartagena 40 14 9 17 -9 51
14 Albacete 39 12 12 15 -6 48
15 Eldense 40 11 14 15 -10 47
16 Zaragoza 39 11 13 15 -2 46
17 Huesca 40 10 15 15 +1 45
18 Mirandes 40 11 12 17 -9 45
19 Amorebieta 40 11 11 18 -15 44
20 Alcorcon 39 10 11 18 -21 41
21 Andorra 40 10 10 20 -18 40
22 Villarreal B 39 10 9 20 -21 39

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Valladolid
4′
🟨 Lucas Oliveira
Juanma Bravo 🔁
↦ Javi Pérez
14′
1–0 Fede Vico
E. Addai
14′
32′
🟨 Javi Sánchez
Xavier Quintilla 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
Fede Vico 🟨
57′
66′
Álvaro Negredo 1–1
Víctor Meseguer
67′
🔁 S. Biuk
↦ Iván Sánchez
67′
🔁 Isra Sala
↦ Álvaro Negredo
67′
🔁 César de la Hoz
↦ Lucas Oliveira
71′
🟨 Israel Salazar
71′
🔁 Lucas Rosa
↦ Sergio Escudero
Javi Lara 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
72′
Marciano Sanca 🔁
↦ E. Addai
73′
78′
🔁 E. Boyomo
↦ Javi Sánchez
Dyego Sousa 🔁
↦ Pedro Mosquera
84′
Koldo Obieta 🔁
↦ Víctor García
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-4-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
4 Óscar Rivas D
2 Javi Castro D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
17 Víctor García M
16 Javi Pérez M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
26 E. Addai M
8 Jacobo González F
14 Fede Vico F
Bench (12)
10 Juanma Bravo
15 Javi Lara
33 Marciano Sanca
11 Dyego Sousa
21 Koldo Obieta
13 Lucas Anacker
3 David Morillas
22 Juan Artola
29 Èric Callis
6 J. Babin
24 Iker Bilbao
18 Y. Eteki

Coach: M. Nafti

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
5 Javi Sánchez D
34 César Tárrega D
18 Sergio Escudero D
4 Víctor Meseguer M
12 Lucas Oliveira M
8 Monchu M
10 Iván Sánchez F
21 Álvaro Negredo F
11 Raúl Moro F
Bench (9)
17 S. Biuk
38 Isra Sala
16 César de la Hoz
22 Lucas Rosa
6 E. Boyomo
20 S. Jurić
13 André Ferreira
7 M. Sylla
3 David Torres

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,84
U ✓
3,07
B
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.