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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Real Madrid

T T S S S

5–1

Full-time

Betis

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Betis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 57%

72%

41%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

61%

47%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,94 xG 1,06

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Betis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	16	1	2	+33	+18.5	49
2	Real Madrid	18	13	3	2	+20	+21.8	42
3	Villarreal	17	12	2	3	+18	+8.0	38
4	Ath Madrid	18	11	4	3	+17	+8.5	37
5	Espanol	18	10	3	5	+3	+5.6	33
6	Betis	17	7	7	3	+10	+6.8	28
7	Celta	18	6	8	4	+4	-2.1	26
8	Ath Bilbao	19	7	3	9	-8	+6.5	24
9	Elche	18	5	7	6	+1	-5.0	22
10	Getafe	18	6	3	9	-9	-6.1	21
11	Sevilla	18	6	2	10	-5	-9.9	20
12	Osasuna	18	5	4	9	-3	-4.3	19
13	Vallecano	18	4	7	7	-7	+0.8	19
14	Mallorca	17	4	6	7	-5	-10.4	18
15	Alaves	17	5	3	9	-6	-0.8	18
16	Sociedad	17	4	5	8	-4	+0.1	17
17	Valencia	18	3	7	8	-13	-4.4	16
18	Girona	17	3	6	8	-18	-11.6	15
19	Levante	17	3	4	10	-9	-6.7	13
20	Oviedo	17	2	5	10	-19	-15.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	+23	+14.6	27
2	Ath Madrid	9	8	1	0	+15	+11.9	25
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+14	+6.2	22
4	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	+11	+11.6	21
5	Elche	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.7	19
6	Espanol	10	6	1	3	+1	+3.0	19
7	Osasuna	9	5	2	2	+6	+2.1	17
8	Betis	9	5	1	3	+7	+5.7	16
9	Ath Bilbao	10	5	1	4	-1	+7.2	16
10	Alaves	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.3	14
11	Valencia	9	3	4	2	+3	+5.7	13
12	Mallorca	8	3	4	1	+1	-1.3	13
13	Getafe	8	3	2	3	+1	-3.0	11
14	Celta	10	2	5	3	+0	+0.6	11
15	Sevilla	9	3	1	5	-1	-0.1	10
16	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	+2.2	10
17	Vallecano	8	1	6	1	+0	+4.2	9
18	Girona	9	2	3	4	-9	-6.8	9
19	Oviedo	9	1	4	4	-8	-8.2	7
20	Levante	7	0	2	5	-10	-6.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	1	2	+10	+3.9	22
2	Real Madrid	10	6	3	1	+9	+10.2	21
3	Villarreal	8	5	1	2	+4	+1.7	16
4	Celta	8	4	3	1	+4	-2.8	15
5	Espanol	8	4	2	2	+2	+2.6	14
6	Betis	8	2	6	0	+3	+1.1	12
7	Ath Madrid	9	3	3	3	+2	-3.4	12
8	Levante	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.1	11
9	Sevilla	9	3	1	5	-4	-9.8	10
10	Vallecano	10	3	1	6	-7	-3.4	10
11	Getafe	10	3	1	6	-10	-3.1	10
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-7	-0.8	8
13	Sociedad	9	1	4	4	-3	-2.1	7
14	Girona	8	1	3	4	-9	-4.8	6
15	Mallorca	9	1	2	6	-6	-9.2	5
16	Alaves	8	1	1	6	-8	-3.1	4
17	Oviedo	8	1	1	6	-11	-7.1	4
18	Elche	8	0	3	5	-8	-7.7	3
19	Valencia	9	0	3	6	-16	-10.0	3
20	Osasuna	9	0	2	7	-9	-6.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.