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Copa del Rey
Referee: J Martinez
0–2
Full-time
Betis
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Murcia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
6,5
Scored
2,0
5,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+4,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,96 xG 1,53
41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Murcia 32. · Betis 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Alaves 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Osasuna 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Valencia 3 3 0 0 +8 +1.0 9
4 La Coruna 3 3 0 0 +7 +0.6 9
5 Santander 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Elche 3 3 0 0 +6 -0.3 9
7 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Cultural Leonesa 3 3 0 0 +5 9
9 Burgos 3 3 0 0 +4 +0.3 9
10 Albacete 3 2 1 0 +4 7
11 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +10 -0.3 6
12 Betis 2 2 0 0 +9 6
13 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 -0.4 6
14 Granada 2 2 0 0 +5 -0.1 6
15 Palma del Rio 3 2 0 1 +4 6
16 Eibar 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.3 6
17 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 CF Talavera 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +3 6
20 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.1 6
21 Eldense 3 2 0 1 +2 6
22 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Mallorca 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.6 6
24 Atlético Baleares 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.5 6
25 Levante 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Sp Gijon 3 2 0 1 +1 6
27 Guadalajara 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.0 6
28 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
29 Celta 3 1 2 0 +2 +1.1 5
30 Villarreal 3 1 1 1 +5 4
31 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
32 Real Murcia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 Sant Andreu 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.1 4
34 Antoniano 2 1 1 0 +1 4
35 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
36 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
37 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
38 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
39 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.1 3
40 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
41 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
42 Numancia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
43 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.0 3
44 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Malaga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Extremadura 1924 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.1 3
48 Zaragoza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
49 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
50 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
53 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
55 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Cartagena 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
58 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
59 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Real Ávila 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.4 3
61 Cieza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Torrent 2 1 0 1 -1 3
63 Sabadell 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Portugalete 2 1 0 1 -2 3
65 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
66 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
67 Antequera 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Quintanar del Rey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
76 Ebro 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
80 Reddis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
81 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
82 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
83 Pontevedra 2 0 1 1 -3 1
84 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
85 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Atlètic Lleida 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Estepona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
115 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 Sámano 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
123 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
124 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
125 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Murcia Betis
30′
Cucho Hernandez 0–1
38′
🟨 Cucho Hernández
38′
🟨 Natan
40′
🟨 Nelson Deossa
Half-time 0–1
Antonio David 🔁
↦ S. Djanbou
46′
46′
🔁 R. Rodriguez
↦ Natan
46′
🔁 P. Fornals
↦ P. Garcia
H. Perez 🔁
↦ P. Leon
55′
A. Zeka 🔁
↦ A. Jaso Zunzarren
55′
Joao Pedro Palmberg 🔁
↦ A. Bustos
69′
I. Gomez 🔁
↦ M. Lara
69′
69′
🔁 Antony
↦ C. Avila
78′
🔁 A. Ruibal
↦ R. Riquelme
85′
D. Pineiro del Alamo 1–1
own goal
87′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ Cucho Hernandez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Real Murcia

5-4-1
13 D. Pineiro del Alamo G
2 J. Mier D
34 J. G. Sanchez D
6 A. Gonzalez D
5 A. Jaso Zunzarren D
3 C. Romero D
14 P. Leon M
31 S. Djanbou M
38 M. Lara M
11 A. Bustos M
23 D. Bosilj F
Bench (11)
1 G. Gazzaniga
4 A. Lopez
26 H. Perez
18 D. Vicente
30 Joao Pedro Palmberg
10 I. Gomez
16 Antonio David
22 Juan Carlos
9 A. P. Benito P.
17 A. Zeka
20 E. Zenitagoia

Coach: Curro Torres

Betis

4-4-2
13 Adrian G
40 A. Ortiz D
5 M. Bartra D
4 Natan D
16 V. Gomez D
52 P. Garcia M
18 N. Deossa M
6 S. Altimira M
17 R. Riquelme M
9 C. Avila F
19 Cucho Hernandez F
Bench (10)
25 P. Lopez
1 A. Valles
2 H. Bellerin
12 R. Rodriguez
8 P. Fornals
20 G. Lo Celso
28 M. Mensah
27 J. Morante
24 A. Ruibal
7 Antony

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Martinez · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.