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La Liga
Referee: Juan Luis Pulido Santana
Sociedad
U U S T U
4–3
Full-time
Getafe
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,95 xG 1,47
61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 12. · Getafe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +10 +7.3 16
2 Girona 6 5 1 0 +9 +3.3 16
3 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +7 +4.1 15
4 Ath Bilbao 6 4 1 1 +7 +5.6 13
5 Valencia 6 3 1 2 +3 +0.5 10
6 Vallecano 5 3 0 2 -2 +1.0 9
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +6 +2.9 7
8 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.7 7
9 Cadiz 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
10 Getafe 5 2 1 2 -2 -3.1 7
11 Betis 5 2 1 2 -5 -3.9 7
12 Sociedad 5 1 3 1 +1 +0.7 6
13 Villarreal 5 2 0 3 -2 -2.2 6
14 Alaves 6 2 0 4 -4 -2.7 6
15 Mallorca 6 1 2 3 -3 -1.9 5
16 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 -2 -1.5 4
17 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.6 4
18 Granada 5 1 0 4 -7 -6.3 3
19 Las Palmas 5 0 2 3 -3 -2.5 2
20 Almeria 6 0 2 4 -6 +1.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Getafe
1–0 Takefusa Kubo
Brais Méndez
2′
19′
🟨 Diego Rico
39′
Carles Aleñá 1–1
Diego Rico
Half-time 1–1
Brais Méndez 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Juanmi Latasa
↦ Borja Mayoral
Aihen Muñoz 🟨
48′
Álex Remiro 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Damián Suárez
50′
Borja Mayoral 1–2
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ Umar Sadiq
58′
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ Beñat Turrientes
58′
Martín Zubimendi 🔁
↦ Urko González
58′
2–2 Mikel Oyarzabal
61′
3–2 Brais Méndez
66′
68′
🔁 Mason Greenwood
↦ Djené
68′
🔁 Mauro Arambarri
↦ José Ángel Carmona
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🔁
↦ Ander Barrenetxea
69′
78′
🔁 Anthony Lozano
↦ Carles Aleñá
78′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Jaime Mata
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ Igor Zubeldia
83′
4–2 Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Merino
88′
Mikel Oyarzabal ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
89′
92′
Juanmi Latasa 4–3
Diego Rico
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traore D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
14 Takefusa Kubo M
26 Urko González M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
7 Ander Barrenetxea M
23 Brais Méndez F
19 Umar Sadiq F
Bench (12)
4 Martín Zubimendi
8 Mikel Merino
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
11 Mohamed-Ali Cho
20 Jon Pacheco
32 Unai Marrero
17 Kieran Tierney
2 Álvaro Odriozola
28 Jon Magunazelaia
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
9 Carlos Fernández
21 André Silva

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Getafe

4-2-3-1
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
23 Stefan Mitrović D
15 Omar Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
2 Djené M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 José Ángel Carmona M
11 Carles Aleñá M
7 Jaime Mata M
19 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (11)
14 Juanmi Latasa
12 Mason Greenwood
8 Mauro Arambarri
9 Óscar Rodríguez
17 Anthony Lozano
1 Daniel Fuzato
35 Jorge Benito
6 Domingos Duarte
4 Gastón Álvarez
3 Fabrizio Angileri
21 Juan Iglesias

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,77
B
7,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Luis Pulido Santana · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.