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Serie A

Referee: D Ghersini

Spezia

S T U U S

1–4

Full-time

Sassuolo

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.