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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Cagliari
T T S T U
0–2
Full-time
Lazio
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Verona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Parma 1 0 0 1 -2 0
11 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
12 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
13 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0
14 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Roma 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -20 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 16. Dec -19 Cagliari – Lazio 1–2 11. May -19 Cagliari – Lazio 1–2 22. Dec -18 Lazio – Cagliari 3–1 11. Mar -18 Cagliari – Lazio 2–2

Match report

Cagliari Lazio
4′
⚽ M. Lazzari 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Răzvan Marin 🟨
51′
61′
🟨 Lucas Leiva
63′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Lucas Leiva
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ R. Marin
70′
70′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ J. Correa
70′
🔁 J. Akpa Akpro
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
74′
⚽ C. Immobile 0–2
A. Marušić
G. Zappa 🔁
↦ P. Faragò
79′
L. Pavoletti 🔁
↦ R. Sottil
79′
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
80′
A. Tripaldelli 🔁
↦ C. Lykogiannis
87′
89′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ Luis Alberto
89′
🔁 M. Parolo
↦ Ş. Radu
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-3
28 A. Cragno G
15 R. Klavan D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
40 S. Walukiewicz D
10 João Pedro F
24 P. Faragò D
8 R. Marin M
6 M. Rog M
18 N. Nández M
9 G. Simeone F
33 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
12 F. Caligara
25 G. Zappa
30 L. Pavoletti
32 K. Despodov
3 A. Tripaldelli
1 S. Aresti
14 S. Pinna
21 C. Oliva
2 D. Godín
31 G. Vicario
19 F. Pisacane
17 M. Tramoni

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
11 J. Correa F
29 M. Lazzari M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (11)
18 G. Escalante
20 F. Caicedo
92 J. Akpa Akpro
32 D. Cataldi
16 M. Parolo
34 B. Adekanye
71 M. Alia
25 Pepe Reina
80 S. Kiyine
13 N. Armini
8 D. Anderson

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,87
🔒
U
4,01
🔒
B ✓
1,68
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,65
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,23
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.