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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Juventus
U S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 75%
80%
70%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,1
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 6. · Atalanta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 11 8 3 0 +14 27
2 Napoli 10 8 0 2 +18 24
3 Inter 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +9 22
5 Roma 11 6 3 2 +8 21
6 Juventus 10 5 5 0 +11 20
7 Verona 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Lazio 12 5 3 4 -2 18
9 Atalanta 10 5 2 3 +5 17
10 Udinese 11 4 2 5 -1 14
11 Cagliari 11 3 3 5 -5 12
12 Bologna 11 4 0 7 -6 12
13 Benevento 12 3 3 6 -10 12
14 Sampdoria 11 3 2 6 -3 11
15 Parma 11 2 5 4 -7 11
16 Spezia 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Torino 11 1 3 7 -8 6
19 Genoa 11 1 3 7 -12 6
20 Crotone 12 1 3 8 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Atalanta
A. Rabiot 🔁
↦ Arthur
27′
1–0 F. Chiesa
R. Bentancur
29′
38′
🟨 Cristian Romero
Half-time 1–0
Adrien Rabiot 🟨
46′
52′
🟨 Marten de Roon
53′
🔁 Papu Gómez
↦ M. Pessina
57′
R. Freuler 1–1
Álvaro Morata 🟨
60′
71′
🔁 A. Miranchuk
↦ R. Malinovskyi
72′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ D. Zapata
Alex Sandro 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
75′
Weston McKennie 🟨
80′
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ Morata
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-4-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
13 Danilo D
4 M. de Ligt D
16 J. Cuadrado D
5 Arthur M
30 R. Bentancur M
14 W. McKennie M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 Morata F
22 F. Chiesa M
Bench (12)
25 A. Rabiot
12 Alex Sandro
10 P. Dybala
37 R. Drăgușin
77 G. Buffon
31 C. Pinsoglio
33 F. Bernardeschi
44 D. Kulusevski
8 A. Ramsey
34 C. Da Graca
39 M. Portanova
38 G. Frabotta

Coach: A. Pirlo

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 P. Gollini G
6 J. Palomino D
19 B. Djimsiti D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Gosens M
17 C. Romero D
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
18 R. Malinovskyi F
32 M. Pessina F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (11)
10 Papu Gómez
59 A. Miranchuk
9 L. Muriel
44 E. Gyabuaa
79 A. Diallo
31 F. Rossi
7 S. Lammers
57 M. Sportiello
26 J. Mojica
4 B. Šutalo
27 F. Depaoli

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,76
B
3,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.