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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Bayern Munich

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Wolfsburg

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

64%

45%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

82%

45%

Both score Ø 78%

82%

73%

Average goals

4,7

2,6

Scored

3,2

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Wolfsburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	11	7	4	0	+13	25
2	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+18	24
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Dortmund	12	7	1	4	+9	22
5	Wolfsburg	11	5	6	0	+7	21
6	Union Berlin	12	4	6	2	+8	18
7	Stuttgart	12	4	6	2	+7	18
8	M'gladbach	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	8	2	-3	14
10	Freiburg	12	3	5	4	-6	14
11	Hertha	12	3	4	5	-1	13
12	Augsburg	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Hoffenheim	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Werder Bremen	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	FC Koln	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Bielefeld	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Mainz	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-27	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+14	11
4	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	M'gladbach	6	2	4	0	+4	10
6	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+7	9
7	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-6	2
18	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Leverkusen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+4	8
7	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	M'gladbach	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	-4	8
10	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
11	RB Leipzig	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-18	2
18	Bielefeld	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.